Hurrican IDA..Think it will affect Key West?!

[Sammyb713]

Hurrican IDA...

Anyone think that it could make its way to key west by next week??

Could mean good rough water for some serious racing!

Anyone hear what the weather should be like next week in Key West?

Leaving Tuesday morning be in key west by 4:00!! See everyone there!!

[Bobthebuilder]

Hurrican IDA...

Anyone think that it could make its way to key west by next week??

Could mean good rough water for some serious racing!

Anyone hear what the weather should be like next week in Key West?

Leaving Tuesday morning be in key west by 4:00!! See everyone there!!

It does look like the outer bands could affect Key West and this will need to be watched. The 5 day cone puts it into the Gulf a fair distance to the west of Key West but will still bring some crappy weather to the area. Atached is a link to NOAA National Hurricane Center. I would not be in any rush to change any plans. The next few days things should become more clear. I will be there.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

[cigdaze]

A little breezy maybe, but overall shouldn't be a concern.

[ChiefApache]

The only thing that will affect me in KW is if they close the bars down. That's not likely.....

[phragle]

effect... well there is the hurricane party...

[Bobthebuilder]

I cut the following out of the latest bulletin and if it holds true Key West should have little or no concerns. Like i said - please do not change your plans at this point. Let's just keep an eye on things. The next few days things will become more clear.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IDA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS IDA MOVES INLAND OVER NICARAGUA TODAY AND
TONIGHT. IDA IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM LATER
TODAY.

[cigdaze]

please do not change your plans at this point.

We wouldn't dare even let the casual consideration of that thought remotely enter our minds.

[Sammyb713]

I am so excited!! Wish I could leave now!!

[BUIZILLA]

does the weather really matter?

[L-V]

I have a pretty good beer belly going this fall, it would take a pretty good gust of wind from her to mess with my plans!

[DAREDEVIL]

does the weather really matter?

NO

[Jassman]

I have a pretty good beer belly going this fall, it would take a pretty good gust of wind from her to mess with my plans!

Have a good time and have a few for me

[Bobthebuilder]

does the weather really matter?

To the over 200 poker run boats that will make their way down to Key West and back over the coarse of the week, yes.

[imco offshore]

when do the poker runners come in and when do they leave..?

[Bobcat]

it'll peter out to nothing

[bluellama]

I have a pretty good beer belly going this fall, it would take a pretty good gust of wind from her to mess with my plans!

As Ron White put it ...... " It's not that the wind's a blowin'...... it's what the wind's a blowin' "

[MOBILEMERCMAN]

it'll peter out to nothing

That's my guess too.

[Bobthebuilder]

It could be a bumpy ride for those going down to Key West early in the week. The Keys and Biscayne Bay offer some great protection and seas inside the reef are always less than outside but this needs to be watched. Always good to start thinking about a "plan B" in advance. I'm still on for Thursday but I will have a "plan B" if no change by the first of next week.

http://forecast.weather.gov/shmrn.ph...054&syn=gmz005

Small Craft Advisory

Synopsis...FRESH NORTHEAST BREEZES WILL BECOME STRONG TONIGHT AS A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EAST CENTRAL UNITED STATES BUILDS SOUTHWARD. STRONG BREEZES WILL PERSIST FRIDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...CAUSING HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS.

THE APPROXIMATE SHOREWARD EDGE OF THE GULF STREAM CURRENT...AS OF NOVEMBER 5TH...

35 NM SOUTH OF DRY TORTUGAS LIGHT...ON LOGGERHEAD KEY. 32 NM SOUTH OF COSGROVE SHOAL LIGHT...OFF THE MARQUESAS KEYS. 13 NM SOUTH OF SAND KEY LIGHT...OFF KEY WEST. 4 NM SOUTH OF LOOE KEY...OFF BIG PINE KEY. 6 NM SOUTH OF SOMBRERO KEY LIGHT...OFF MARATHON. 2 NM SOUTHEAST OF ALLIGATOR REEF LIGHT...OFF ISLAMORADA. 2 NM SOUTHEAST OF MOLASSES REEF LIGHT...OFF KEY LARGO. 2 NM EAST OF CARYSFORT REEF LIGHT...OFF OCEAN REEF.

GULF STREAM INFORMATION COURTESY OF THE NAVAL OCEANOGRAPHIC OFFICE.
Tonight...Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots and gusty. Seas beyond the reef 5 to 8 feet...except higher in the gulf stream. Seas inside the reef 2 to 4 feet. Nearshore waters very rough. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.

Friday...Northeast winds near 25 knots and gusty. Seas beyond the reef 6 to 9 feet...except higher in the gulf stream. Seas inside the reef 3 to 4 feet. Nearshore waters extremely rough. Scattered showers.

Friday Night...Northeast to east winds 25 to 30 knots...with occasional gusts near gale force. Seas beyond the reef 7 to 10 feet...except higher in the gulf stream. Seas inside the reef 3 to 5 feet. Nearshore waters extremely rough. Scattered showers.

Saturday And Saturday Night...Northeast to east winds 25 to 30 knots...with occasional gusts near gale force. Seas beyond the reef 8 to 11 feet...except higher in the gulf stream. Seas inside the reef 3 to 5 feet. Nearshore waters extremely rough. Scattered showers.

Sunday...East winds 25 to 30 knots...with occasional gusts near gale force. Seas beyond the reef 8 to 11 feet...except higher in the gulf stream. Seas inside the reef 3 to 5 feet. Nearshore waters extremely rough. Scattered showers.

Monday...East to southeast winds near 25 knots. Seas beyond the reef 7 to 10 feet. Seas inside the reef 3 to 5 feet. Nearshore waters extremely rough. Scattered showers.

Tuesday...Southeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas beyond the reef 6 to 9 feet. Seas inside the reef 2 to 4 feet. Nearshore waters very rough. Scattered showers.

[cigdaze]

Ya, that may change some boating plans.

[Bobthebuilder]

Here is a link to The Weather Channel 10 day forecast for Key West. I am hopeful that by mid week there will be a big improvement in the weather. I will post NOAA's Marine forecast for Wednesday once it is available later in the day. I am hopeful it will show winds and seas settling down by then.

http://www.weather.com/weather/tenda...nav_undeclared