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Bobcat
11-06-2008, 09:25 AM
looks like one more surprise for the season

scottc
11-06-2008, 10:06 AM
Hope it don't do what other storms have done to Key West. At least wait untill after all the races and parties.

Ted
11-06-2008, 10:11 AM
Might make for some interesting water on Sunday, definitely Monday for the ride home.

Sea-Dated
11-06-2008, 12:19 PM
Looks like it should go South East of the keys. Could make racing Sunday fun though.

scottc
11-06-2008, 12:49 PM
Just a little twist

scottc
11-06-2008, 12:52 PM
more updated info

WTNT32 KNHC 061434
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM PALOMA ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172008
1000 AM EST THU NOV 06 2008

...PALOMA STRENGTHENING...

AT 10 AM EST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA NORTHWARD TO LIMON HONDURAS. THIS WATCH COULD BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.

INTERESTS IN CUBA AND JAMAICA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF PALOMA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1000 AM EST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PALOMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.3 WEST OR ABOUT 75
MILES...115 KM...NORTHEAST OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER AND ABOUT 265 MILES...430 KM...
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GRAND CAYMAN.

PALOMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR.
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH EXPECTED ON FRIDAY AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST EXPECTED ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STEADY STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND PALOMA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE TOMORROW.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE FROM SATELLITE DATA IS 998
MB...29.47 INCHES.

PALOMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
2 TO 4 INCHES OVER EASTERN HONDURAS AND NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA.
OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...4 TO 8 OF RAIN IS EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE.

REPEATING THE 1000 AM EST POSITION...15.6 N...82.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 100 PM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400 PM EST.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH

scottc
11-06-2008, 05:47 PM
Just in

wtnt32 knhc 062035
tcpat2
bulletin
tropical storm paloma advisory number 5
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al172008
400 pm est thu nov 06 2008

...paloma still strengthening...

At 4 pm est...2100 utc...the government of the cayman islands has issued a hurricane warning for the cayman islands. A hurricane warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

At 4 pm est...the tropical storm watch for nicaragua and honduras has been discontinued.

Interests in cuba and jamaica should monitor the progress of paloma.

For storm information specific to your area...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

At 400 pm est...2100z...the center of tropical storm paloma was located near latitude 16.3 north...longitude 81.8 west or about 210 miles...340 km...south of grand cayman and about 300 miles...480 km ...west-southwest of montego bay jamaica.

Paloma is moving toward the north near 8 mph...13 km/hr. This general motion is expected tonight with a gradual turn toward the northeast forecast late on friday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph...100 km/hr...with higher gusts. Further strengthening is likely and paloma is expected to become a hurricane later tonight or tomorrow.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles...110 km from the center.

An air force reserve hurricane hunter plane recently reported a minimum central pressure of 994 mb...29.35 inches.

Paloma is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 8 inches of rain over the cayman islands with isolated maximum totals of 12 inches possible.

Repeating the 400 pm est position...16.3 n...81.8 w. Movement toward...north near 8 mph. Maximum sustained winds...65 mph.
Minimum central pressure...994 mb.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the national hurricane center at 700 pm est followed by the next complete advisory at 1000 pm est.

$$
forecaster blake/pasch

scottc
11-08-2008, 09:03 AM
Wtnt32 knhc 081148
tcpat2
bulletin
hurricane paloma intermediate advisory number 12a
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al172008
700 am est sat nov 08 2008

...extremely dangerous paloma strengthens a little more...

A hurricane warning is in effect for the cayman islands.
Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

A hurricane warning is also in effect for the cuban provinces of sancti spiritus... Ciego de avila...camaguey and las tunas. A hurricane warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

A tropical storm warning and a hurricane watch are in effect for the cuban province of granma. A hurricane watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours. A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours.

A tropical storm warning remains in effect for the cuban provinces of holguin and santiago de cuba.

A tropical storm watch remains in effect for the central bahamas...
Including cat island...the exumas...long island...rum cay...and san salvador. A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.

Interests elsewhere in cuba...jamaica...and the bahamas should closely monitor the progress of paloma.

For storm information specific to your area...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

At 700 am est...1200z...the center of hurricane paloma was located near latitude 19.7 north...longitude 79.6 west or just southeast of cayman brac. This position is also about 110 miles...175 km...
East-northeast of grand cayman and about 165 miles...265 km...
Southwest of camaguey cuba.

Paloma is moving toward the northeast near 8 mph...13 km/hr...and this motion is expected to continue through sunday. On the forecast track...the center of paloma is expected to move away from little cayman and cayman brac this morning...and be approaching the coast of central cuba late tonight or early sunday.

Reports from an air force reserve hurricane hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 140 mph...225 km/hr...with higher gusts. Paloma is an extremely dangerous category four hurricane on the saffir-simpson scale. Some additional strengthening is possible this morning...with weakening expected later today through sunday.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 30 miles...45 km...from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 115
miles...185 km.

The minimum central pressure extrapolated from recent hurricane hunter data is 943 mb...27.85 inches.

Storm surge flooding of 7 to 9 feet above normal tide levels...
Accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is expected near the center of paloma in the cayman islands. Storm surge flooding of 15 to 20 feet is expected near and to the east of where the center of paloma makes landfall along the south coast of cuba.

Paloma is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches over the cayman islands as well as central and eastern cuba...with isolated maximum totals of 15 inches possible. These rains may produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.
Rainfall accumulations of 1 to 3 inches are possible across jamaica.

Repeating the 700 am est position...19.7 n...79.6 w. Movement toward...northeast near 8 mph. Maximum sustained winds...140 mph.
Minimum central pressure...943 mb.

The next advisory will be issued by the national hurricane center at 1000 am est.

$$
forecaster beven

scottc
11-08-2008, 09:07 AM
Looks cool.............http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

Bobcat
11-08-2008, 10:37 AM
that is cool

scottc
11-09-2008, 09:23 AM
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=SANF1

Close to KW but the winds are up a little

Davidmnc
01-24-2010, 01:03 AM
Bob the weather man?